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One group of climate scientists has been hammering out a process to provide a rapid look at that question for events like this while they’restill fresh in the minds of those outside the affected area. In their work, they analyzeweather datasets and an archive of previously run climate model simulations to see if those models show changes in that sort of weather as the climate warms. They work fasttheyve already submitted their paper on the Louisiana floods for peer review, and they released their analysis last week. In this case, the team went hunting for extended extreme precipitation events using three-day totals. They widened their search from southern Louisiana to include the rest of the US Gulf Coast to avoid, figuratively, missing changes in the forest for focusing on one tree. Intense precipitation here can come from several different types of weather systems, which makes this a little tricky. interview attireThere are tropical low pressure systems, but also fronts when the jet stream dips far enough south, and other conditions that cause moist surface air to rise and cool. The researchers analyzed simulations from two climate models that run with exceptionally fine spatial resolution, as those do a better job with this kind of weather. They looked at simulations run with climate forcings like CO2 and solar activity matching the historical changes since 1860, as well as baseline simulations with forcings permanently stuck in 1860 (or another year). If you pick any individual weather station, the probability of experiencing an extreme event like the one southern Louisiana saw a few weeks ago in a given year is in the neighborhood of 1-in-550. The probability of seeing an event like that somewhere in the Gulf Coast region in a given year comes down to about 1-in-30. But all of the weather station data show that these probabilities are increasing over time as extreme events have gotten stronger.
For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/09/was-august-deluge-in-louisiana-worsened-by-climate-change/
They told me to calm down,but they had no idea what could be causing my symptoms. RELATED: 9 Things You Need to Know About Your Thyroid I went back to the health center, and was referred to a neurologist. She ordered blood tests and an MRI. The MRI came back negative;the blood tests revealed my thyroid levels were especially high. So the neurologist sent me to an endocrinologist who, finally, had an answer: Graves’ Disease. When I heard the diagnosis, I started crying. I was so relieved to know what was wrong. Graves’ is an autoimmune disorder that results in hyperthyroidism, or the overproduction of thyroid hormones, which can cause everything from a racing heart to bulging eyes to anxiety (all three of which I had). Graves’ is treatable, but incurable.
For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit http://www.foxnews.com/health/2016/09/10/have-disease-that-makes-my-thyroid-go-haywire.html